Understanding Support for the New IRA in Ireland and Northern Ireland

The New Irish Republican Army (IRA) is a dissident republican group that opposes the peace process established by the Good Friday Agreement in 1998. As of August 2023, this group operates in a climate of significant political change and shifting public sentiment in both Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland.

Overview of the New IRA's Support in Northern Ireland

In Northern Ireland, the New IRA has a small but loyal base, primarily among hardline republican communities. Areas like Derry and parts of Belfast have been identified as key areas where support for the New IRA is strongest. However, it is important to note that this support is limited compared to mainstream political parties like Sinn Féin. Sinn Féin advocates for Irish unification through political means rather than via violence.

Public Opinion Polls and Trends

Public opinion polls consistently show that a majority of the population in Northern Ireland prefers peaceful political solutions to the issue of Irish unity. The overall sentiment favors the Good Friday Agreement and the subsequent advancements in Northern Ireland's political landscape. This has led to a significant shift away from paramilitary actions and towards democratic processes.

Support for the New IRA in the Republic of Ireland

In the Republic of Ireland, the New IRA faces even less support due to a notable shift in the political climate towards reconciliation and peace. The majority of Irish citizens and political leaders advocate for democratic processes. Additionally, the New IRA's activities are seen as illegal, and both the Gardaí (Irish police) and the PSNI (Police Service of Northern Ireland) actively arrest individuals suspected of being members of this group.

Legacies and Perceptions

It is widely recognized that the New IRA, like its predecessors, has a small but loyal base. Nevertheless, support for such groups in Ireland is generally viewed with skepticism and opposition by the broader public. The legacy of the IRA's illegal activities continues to influence public perception, leading to a consensus that paramilitary actions are not an acceptable means to achieve political goals.

Modern Context and Public Sentiment

Today, the prevailing sentiment in both Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland is that the Good Friday Agreement has provided a clear and peaceful path towards a united Ireland. While the road to unity may be complex and challenging, the majority of people believe that compromise and political dialogue are the best ways forward. The political landscape has evolved significantly, and the focus has shifted towards peaceful, democratic solutions.

Conclusion

While there may always be a small minority that supports the New IRA, it is clear that this support is limited and largely confined to specific communities in Northern Ireland. The broader public in both regions overwhelmingly prefers peaceful political solutions and generally views paramilitary groups with skepticism and opposition. The Good Friday Agreement and the subsequent positive developments in Northern Ireland's political landscape reflect this changing public sentiment.

Note: The information provided reflects the situation as of August 2023, and evolving political and social dynamics should be considered for current analysis.