The Impact of Impeachment on Donald Trump: A Closer Look

Exactly why it is said that an impeachment won't likely hurt Donald Trump has been widely debated. This article delves into the factors that support this viewpoint and analyzes how impeachment might affect his political standing.

Historical Context and Faulty Logic

The arguments given for why an impeachment wouldn't hurt Trump often rely on emotional and fallacious statements. One common argument is that because people are sick of career politicians, they will forgive Trump regardless of the impeachment. Another argument is that even though some voters did not vote for him, his generals were overwhelming. Similarly, it is claimed that his focus on deals for the American people, rather than the rest of the world, has earned him support. Such statements ignore important details and future implications.

Impact on Different Political Alignments

While the impact of an impeachment on Trump's political standing is significant, the effects will vary among different political factions. Those Republicans who like Trump and Democrats who dislike him are unlikely to be persuaded. Independents might be influenced, but they will also be appalled by the efforts of the Democratic Party and left-wing media to remove Trump from office. This could cost Democrats votes and benefit Trump.

Strategic Use of Impeachment by Trump

Consider the case of dragging a person to their death on Fifth Avenue. Trump followers and other supporters do not care about such atrocities, showing their dedication to their leader. Jim Jones' and David Koresh's cults serve as an example of such apathy. Democrats and the leftist media might also have little interest in running the country, but Trump will use the impeachment to his advantage.

Trump's Base and Misdirection

Impeachment might solidify Trump's base, not hurt it. Trump often dismisses charges as bogus and uses misdirection to win support. For instance, he encourages the viewing of the transcript from his infamous call with Zelensky to misrepresent his actions. He misleads the public about the Mueller report, deflecting criticism with falsehoods. His base trusts him and loves him for these lies.

Public Opinion and Voting Behavior

Many believe that Trump cannot be convicted given the Senate's makeup. While this is true, the post-verdict discussions are crucial. Some argue that if Trump is found guilty, the American people might be so appalled by his supposed guilt that they will turn against him and vote for his opponent. Others, including this author, argue that a "not guilty" verdict might frustrate Americans and result in favoring any Democrat who presents themselves as a fresh alternative. Until November 2020, these are only speculations.

In conclusion, while it is unlikely that an impeachment will significantly harm Donald Trump, its impact on public opinion and political dynamics remains a nuanced and complex issue. The outcome of such a process in 2020 will likely depend on a range of factors, including the political climate and public sentiment.